Political Economy Keynesian Economics Questions Medium
The New Keynesian Phillips curve is a concept in Neo-Keynesian Economics that seeks to explain the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the short run. It is an extension of the original Phillips curve, which was developed by economist A.W. Phillips in the 1950s.
The Phillips curve suggests an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, implying that as unemployment decreases, inflation tends to increase, and vice versa. However, the original Phillips curve failed to account for the role of expectations and the influence of monetary policy on the economy.
The New Keynesian Phillips curve incorporates these factors by emphasizing the role of inflation expectations and the adjustment process in the labor market. According to this concept, inflation is not solely determined by the current level of unemployment but also by the expected future inflation rate.
In the New Keynesian framework, workers and firms have rational expectations and form their inflation expectations based on past and current information. If workers expect higher inflation in the future, they will demand higher wages to compensate for the anticipated increase in prices. Similarly, firms will adjust their prices upward to cover the expected rise in production costs.
This adjustment process leads to a positive relationship between inflation and the gap between actual and expected inflation, which is often referred to as the output gap. The output gap represents the difference between actual and potential output in the economy and is influenced by factors such as aggregate demand and supply shocks.
In summary, the New Keynesian Phillips curve highlights the importance of inflation expectations and the adjustment process in determining the relationship between inflation and unemployment. It recognizes that inflation is not solely driven by the current level of unemployment but also by the expected future inflation rate. By incorporating these factors, the New Keynesian Phillips curve provides a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of inflation and unemployment in the short run.