What is the availability bias and how does it influence economic choices?

Economics Cognitive Biases Questions



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What is the availability bias and how does it influence economic choices?

The availability bias is a cognitive bias where individuals tend to rely on information that is readily available in their memory when making decisions or judgments. This bias can influence economic choices by leading individuals to overestimate the likelihood of events or outcomes that are easily recalled or vividly remembered. For example, if people frequently hear news reports about a particular industry's success, they may overestimate its potential profitability and invest heavily in it, even if the actual data or market conditions do not support such a decision. Similarly, if individuals have personally experienced a negative economic event, such as a financial loss, they may become overly cautious and avoid taking risks, even when there is a potential for significant gains. Overall, the availability bias can distort economic decision-making by prioritizing easily accessible information over more accurate or comprehensive data.